COLLAPSE: EUROPE AFTER THE EUROPEAN UNION
- This event has passed.
COLLAPSE: EUROPE AFTER THE EUROPEAN UNION
24th July 2018 @ 1:00 pm - 2:00 pmFree
SPEAKER: Dr Ian Kearns, author, Collapse: Europe After the European Union
Could the European Union collapse in the near future?
Following the Brexit vote, and amid the rise of terrorism, a still vulnerable single currency, the growing threat from Russia, a staggering refugee crisis and spiralling Euroscepticism, many have wondered how long the EU can survive. Few, however, realise just how fragile the current situation is or what the consequences of disintegration would be.
The Henry Jackson Society is pleased to invite you to an event with Dr Ian Kearns, who will trace the scenarios that could lead to the ultimate breakdown of the European Union and in presenting his latest book, he will forecast the catastrophic economic, political and geopolitical fallout that is likely to follow.
Signed copies of Collapse: Europe After the European Union will be on sale after the event. We accept card and contactless methods of payment.
Dr Ian Kearns is the author of Collapse: Europe After the European Union. Dr Kearns was the Co-Founder, Board Member and former Director of the European Leadership Network and former Deputy Director of the Institute for Public Policy Research. With over twenty years of experience working on foreign and security policy issues, Dr Kearns has published extensively on a wide range of issues including Britain’s ‘special relationship’ with the US, nuclear non-proliferation, the enlargement of the European Union, conflict in the former Yugoslavia, and the security situation in Northern Ireland.
On the 24th of July the Henry Jackson Society had the pleasure of hosting Dr Ian Kearns, formerly Director of the European leadership network and author of Collapse: Europe After the European Union. HJS’s James Rogers, Director of the Global Britain Programme, chaired the event and led a thought provoking discussion about Dr Kearns’ book.
Dr Kearns began by explaining his background and that the audience should see his work as a warning and not as a prediction. This, Dr Kearns told us, is the first sentence of the book, confirming that warnings are not issued unless they are deemed necessary. Dr Kearns then went on to explain why he thought it necessary to issue such a warning. The first reason he gave was that there are many people who want to see the end to the European Union. Secondly, he argued there are friends of the institution, who have become too complacent, and who think that the future of the union is safe. This combination, warned Kearns, could cause the union as we know it to collapse.
Dr Kearns’ pointed out that the European Union if fairly vulnerable and that it’s entirely possible to identify a number of trigger scenarios that would leave to the union’s collapse. Using these points, Dr Kearns went on to argue that such a collapse of the European Union would be an unmitigated disaster, that would lead to economic chaos, a nationalist fuel form of scapegoating politics and trade protectionism. This will be the future, unless we change course now, Kearns warned.
In discussing the Brexit campaign Dr Kearns’ essential argument is that there were very British reasons for Brexit and that other European nations have learnt from the Brexit, particularly when it comes to issues perceived as the economic mismanagement of the Eurozone, the way poorer countries were treated, the way some countries were corrupt in the European Union.
The conversation then moved on to the issue of Security in relation to the collapse of the European Union. Dr Kearns spoke of his fear, in that any lack of capability to cooperate will be translated into a weaker ability to deal with terrorism, to deal with migration, to deal with trafficking of drugs, weapons, people, all of which will have ugly consequences over time on our streets, which Kearns concluded will only enforce the illiberal mood that is currently gripping Europe. In reference to the security chapters of his book, Dr Kearns highlighted that NATO would be effectively destroyed by the collapse of the European Union, because the political solidarity to make it function, would no longer exist.
Conscious of time, Dr Kearns went on to mention that his book contains ideas about how some of the challenges facing the European Union can be addressed. In concluding, Dr Kearns issued the same warning which he started with. In professing his honesty, Dr Kearns stated that he doubted that the collapse of the European Union will happen that is unless fundamental changes occur and that would require nothing short of changing the dynamic.
The Henry Jackson would like to thank Dr Ian Kearns for the presentation of his book, Collapse: Europe After the European Union.
Vibrant international engagement has often been suggested to have gone out of the proverbial window in modern nation-state geopolitics. Indeed, … Continued
As the 21st century continues, it has become increasingly apparent that humanity is operating within a constantly shifting and multi-polar … Continued
The Henry Jackson Society is delighted to invite you to the invitation-only roundtable discussion with Admiral (Ret’d) Chen Yeong-Kang ‘Taiwan’s … Continued
These days the world is facing an unprecedented wave of violent extremism by non-state actors of various stripes. The causes … Continued
2019 marks the ten years of the launch of the Eastern Partnership initiative. Although the initiative has provided the necessary … Continued
The UK’s decision to leave the European Union in the June 2016 referendum on EU membership has generated fierce debate … Continued
It is important to discuss what drives social and economic exclusion among British Muslim women. Levels of female unemployment continue … Continued
How is the US Government tackling anti-Semitism? With growing concern over Islamist extremism, Far-Left anti-Zionism and the rise of Neo-Nazi … Continued
The UK has suffered at the hands of far-right terrorism in recent times. This includes the killing of Labour MP … Continued
Everyone knows that populism in the US and UK today is rooted not only in resentment toward elites but also … Continued
According to Elif Shafak, culture and literature matters. It becomes especially relevant in the age of populism, pessimism and political … Continued
The unfolding crisis in Venezuela represents a major challenge not only for the country’s citizens, but also for the international community. … Continued
As we commemorate the 30th anniversary of the events culminating in the Tiananmen Square Massacre of June 4th 1989, it is important to note … Continued
As the strategic environment changes, planning for state-on-state military confrontation has re-emerged. Non-state actors – perhaps assisted by revisionist powers … Continued
The BJP had an impressive victory in the 2019 General Election, emerging as the single largest party garnering more vote … Continued
In the twenty-five years after 1989, the world enjoyed the deepest peace in history. In The Rise and Fall of … Continued
In recent times, national populism has been on the march in much of the Western world. 2016 was a year … Continued
Twenty years after NATO’s bombing of Yugoslavia, the Western Balkans countries are beset by economic, political, and social uncertainty. The … Continued
In light of the publication of the Modernising Defence Programme in December 2018, which recognised the emergence of a more … Continued
The relationship between Russia and the West is once again deep in crisis. A major reason for this is that … Continued
The special relationship is under strain. President Donald Trump’s unorthodox approach to foreign policy together and the uncertainty caused by … Continued
On March 29, the United Nations adopted Security Council Resolution 2367 on sexual violence in conflict. Questions have been raised, … Continued
In late 2013, the People’s Republic of China began building and fortifying islands across a number of reefs in the … Continued
The Wealth Effect: How the Great Expectations of the Middle Class Have Changed the Politics of Banking Crises
The rising wealth of middle class households and voters has transformed the politics of banking crises. At this event, Jeffrey … Continued
In the state elections in December 2018, the big loser was the BJP, which had won 62 of 65 Lok … Continued
Belarus has received increased international attention over recent years, much of which has focused on Russia’s ambitions towards the country. … Continued
With returning IS fighters and uncertainty over Brexit, concerns surrounding human rights, civil liberties and national security have never been … Continued
Putin’s Hostages: Ukrainian Political Prisoners of the Kremlin is a documentary about the roughly 70 Ukrainians political prisoners incarcerated … Continued
In the eyes of many, the prospect of a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict is diminishing. With peace talks … Continued
Hon. Malcolm Turnbull, Australia’s 29th Prime Minister, on ‘Preserving the Freedom of the Asia Pacific’
The Henry Jackson Society is delighted to host Hon. Malcolm Turnbull, Former Australian Prime Minister, for a special event chaired … Continued
Five years ago next month, Russia annexed Crimea in the first forcible annexation of the territory of a European country … Continued
Western liberalism is under attack, not only at home also but from newly-emboldened authoritarian states abroad. Across the West, states … Continued
Deep new rifts are tearing apart the fabric of Britain and other Western societies: thriving cities versus the provinces, the … Continued
Though mankind has traded tangible goods for millennia, recent technology has changed the fundamentals of trade, in both legitimate and … Continued
China’s Belt and Road strategy is acknowledged to be the most ambitious geopolitical initiative of the age. Covering almost seventy countries by land … Continued
Why Middle Eastern Jewish Refugees Are Key to Understanding and Resolving the Israel-Palestine Conflict
Jews lived continuously in the Middle East and North Africa for almost 3,000 years. But in just 50 years, indigenous communities … Continued
India and Turkey were the two exemplars of twentieth-century ‘secular states’ outside of the West. Professor Sumantra Bose believes that … Continued
The political events of recent years have sent shockwaves throughout the established order of Western liberal democracies. Election after election … Continued
Prof. Andrew Lambert’s new book, Seapower States examines how Britain and four other seapowers used their special identities to inform … Continued
Dave Rich’s updated edition of The Left’s Jewish Problem: Jeremy Corbyn, Israel and Antisemitism (2018) contends that antisemitism is a … Continued
Moneyland is the secret country of the wealthy and unscrupulous, the place where they put their assets, their children and … Continued
The Afghanistan War has now lasted for 17 years, and estimates suggest has cost the US government upwards of $750 … Continued
The Middle East remains one of the most tumultuous regions in the world today, with its many ethnic and religious … Continued
The past 18 months have seen an immense amount of economic, diplomatic, and even military activity relating to the Korean … Continued
As one of al-Qaeda's most respected bomb-makers, Aimen Dean rubbed shoulders with the mastermind of the 9/11 attacks and swore … Continued
The most dangerous threat we face today is no longer military, but rather the increasingly pervasive exposure of our personal … Continued
SPEAKER: Professor Carl Minzner, author, End of an Era China’s reform era is ending. Core factors that characterised its political stability, … Continued
SPEAKERS: His Excellency Renato Carlos Sersale di Cerisano - The Argentine Ambassador to the United Kingdom; Dr. Shimon Samuels - … Continued
SPEAKERS: Dr Michael Green - Author of By More Than Providence and Senior Vice President for Asia and Japan Chair … Continued
In the midst of some great changes in the international system, countries have been left with the qaundry of how … Continued
SPEAKER: Eliot Higgins, Founder of Bellingcat The destruction of Malaysian Airlines Flight MH17 over eastern Ukraine in July 2014 shocked the … Continued
SPEAKERS: Humphrey Hawksley, author of Asian Waters: The Struggle Over the Asia-Pacific and the Strategy of Chinese Expansion ; Bill Hayton, Associate Fellow … Continued
PROFESSOR NIGEL BIGGAR, Regius Professor of Moral and Pastoral Theology, Oxford University, in conversation with Douglas Murray The nation-state is … Continued
SPEAKER: EHUD OLMERT, former Prime Minister of Israel It’s been 10 years since the last meaningful peace deal was put … Continued
Whatever one’s feelings toward the outcome of the 2016 US elections, there can be no doubting the historic impact and … Continued
As Britain considers its relationship with Europe, European security has never been more precarious, with Russian revanchism on the rise … Continued
As the United Kingdom leaves the European Union, geopolitics is returning to the European continent. Germany and France are squabbling … Continued